Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121 0.000128 0.000137 0.000146 0.000157
2024-12-22 0.000098 0.000106 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000158 0.000178
2024-12-29 0.000092 0.000103 0.000115 0.000131 0.000149 0.000172 0.000202
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000097 0.000111 0.000128 0.000149 0.000177 0.000215
2025-01-12 0.000080 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000146 0.000176 0.000221
2025-01-19 0.000075 0.000087 0.000100 0.000119 0.000144 0.000177 0.000228
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000081 0.000095 0.000114 0.000139 0.000173 0.000227
2025-02-02 0.000068 0.000080 0.000094 0.000114 0.000142 0.000181 0.000244
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000080 0.000095 0.000117 0.000147 0.000192 0.000269
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000079 0.000095 0.000119 0.000153 0.000204 0.000296
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000081 0.000099 0.000125 0.000165 0.000227 0.000348
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000122 0.000162 0.000226 0.000353
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000075 0.000093 0.000120 0.000161 0.000230 0.000370
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000074 0.000092 0.000120 0.000164 0.000239 0.000403
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.000073 0.000092 0.000122 0.000170 0.000257 0.000459
2025-03-30 0.000057 0.000071 0.000089 0.000119 0.000168 0.000258 0.000476
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000068 0.000086 0.000115 0.000163 0.000253 0.000476
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000111 0.000160 0.000250 0.000482
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000106 0.000153 0.000240 0.000467
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000107 0.000156 0.000251 0.000514
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000162 0.000269 0.000588
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000111 0.000168 0.000287 0.000675
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000063 0.000083 0.000117 0.000181 0.000326 0.000875